Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.424683 0.469354 0.517338 0.572815 0.635309 0.703670 0.784300
2025-06-15 0.354534 0.416688 0.488384 0.577637 0.686365 0.815270 0.980787
2025-06-22 0.308205 0.376996 0.460138 0.568867 0.708536 0.883584 1.122205
2025-06-29 0.275938 0.348441 0.439409 0.563225 0.729364 0.947451 1.260176
2025-07-06 0.243808 0.315866 0.409057 0.540118 0.722433 0.971198 1.343538
2025-07-13 0.228394 0.303157 0.402669 0.547077 0.755085 1.049840 1.510110
2025-07-20 0.215084 0.291773 0.396528 0.552941 0.785558 1.126922 1.681541
2025-07-27 0.203539 0.281653 0.390921 0.558423 0.815056 1.204241 1.860816
2025-08-03 0.192600 0.271388 0.384024 0.560927 0.839556 1.275294 2.037046
2025-08-10 0.183693 0.263306 0.379488 0.566231 0.868263 1.354873 2.235672
2025-08-17 0.171211 0.248987 0.364489 0.553835 0.867128 1.385031 2.351337
2025-08-24 0.164773 0.243324 0.362163 0.561127 0.898490 1.471935 2.577903
2025-08-31 0.155907 0.233493 0.352895 0.556741 0.910352 1.527325 2.755131
2025-09-07 0.149653 0.227356 0.349041 0.560984 0.937391 1.612202 2.999948
2025-09-14 0.141334 0.217380 0.338275 0.552532 0.940937 1.654059 3.163885
2025-09-21 0.134315 0.209073 0.329674 0.547076 0.949221 1.705201 3.352908
2025-09-28 0.124685 0.195937 0.312231 0.524732 0.924237 1.689690 3.397873
2025-10-05 0.121066 0.192588 0.311090 0.531462 0.954584 1.785722 3.699008
2025-10-12 0.117504 0.189114 0.309480 0.537132 0.983224 1.880960 4.011500
2025-10-19 0.114109 0.185723 0.307778 0.542432 1.011459 1.978017 4.342003
2025-10-26 0.110472 0.181706 0.304704 0.544854 1.033979 2.065036 4.660844
2025-11-02 0.107469 0.178632 0.303121 0.549981 1.062410 2.167703 5.034069
2025-11-09 0.102155 0.171185 0.293168 0.537997 1.053804 2.186649 5.194124